Midterm Results Live

2026 Senate races

35 races on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats 45, with 2 independents who caucus with Democrats; 51 seats (or 50 plus the Vice President) control the chamber.

Race ratings map · Cook Political Report, as recorded November 3, 2026

2026 Senate race ratings

12rated toward Democrats
7Toss-up
16rated toward Republicans
Alabama Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RAlaska Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Toss-upArizona: no Senate race in 2026Colorado Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DFlorida (special) Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Likely RGeorgia Senate: Cook Likely D, Sabato Likely DIndiana: no Senate race in 2026Kansas Senate: Cook Lean R, Sabato Lean RMaine Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DMassachusetts Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DMinnesota Senate: Cook Lean D, Sabato Likely DNew Jersey Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DNorth Carolina Senate: Cook Lean D, Sabato Likely DNorth Dakota: no Senate race in 2026Oklahoma Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RPennsylvania: no Senate race in 2026South Dakota Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RTexas Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DWyoming Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RConnecticut: no Senate race in 2026Missouri: no Senate race in 2026West Virginia Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RIllinois Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DNew Mexico Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DArkansas Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RCalifornia: no Senate race in 2026Delaware Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DDistrict of Columbia: no Senate race in 2026Hawaii: no Senate race in 2026Iowa Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DKentucky Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RMaryland: no Senate race in 2026Michigan Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DMississippi Senate: Cook Likely R, Sabato Safe RMontana Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RNew Hampshire Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DNew York: no Senate race in 2026Ohio (special) Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DOregon Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DTennessee Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RUtah: no Senate race in 2026Virginia Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DWashington: no Senate race in 2026Wisconsin: no Senate race in 2026Nebraska Senate: Cook Likely R, Sabato Likely RSouth Carolina Senate: Cook Lean R, Sabato Lean RIdaho Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RNevada: no Senate race in 2026Vermont: no Senate race in 2026Louisiana Senate: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe RRhode Island Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DVermont: no Senate race in 2026VTNew Hampshire Senate: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean DNHMassachusetts Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DMARhode Island Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DRIConnecticut: no Senate race in 2026CTNew Jersey Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DNJDelaware Senate: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe DDEMaryland: no Senate race in 2026MDDistrict of Columbia: no Senate race in 2026DC
Solid D (9)Likely D (1)Lean D (2)Toss-up (7)Lean R (2)Likely R (2)Solid R (12)No race

Toss-ups: Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio (special), Texas.

Small Northeastern states are shown as boxes on the right. Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls and not our forecast. Select a state for its polls. About these ratings

All Senate races

Alabama

Open — Tuberville (R) running for governor
Solid R
D
Everett Wess
DEM
R
Barry Moore
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Alaska

Dan Sullivan (R)
Toss-up
D
Mary Peltola
DEM · Former U.S. Representative
R
Dan SullivanINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2015

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 48 · R 46 · Sabato: Toss-up

Arkansas

Tom Cotton (R)
Solid R
D
Hallie Shoffner
DEM
R
Tom CottonINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2015

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Colorado

John Hickenlooper (D)
Solid D
D
John HickenlooperINC
DEM · U.S. Senator; former governor
R
Mark Baisley
REP

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

Delaware

Chris Coons (D)
Solid D
D
Chris CoonsINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2010
R
Michael Katz
REP

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

Florida (special)

Ashley Moody (R), appointed
Solid R
D
Angie Nixon
DEM · State Representative
R
Ashley MoodyINC
REP · Appointed senator; former Florida Attorney General

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, October 26, 2026: D 44 · R 50 · Sabato: Likely R

Georgia

Jon Ossoff (D)
Likely D
D
Jon OssoffINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2021
R
Mike Collins
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · Last poll:

Logged poll: Quantus Insights, October 17, 2026: D 51.8 · R 44.9 · Sabato: Likely D

Idaho

Jim Risch (R)
Solid R
R
Jim RischINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2009
I
Todd Achilles
IND · Independent; former state legislator

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Illinois

Open — Dick Durbin (D) retiring
Solid D
D
Juliana Stratton
DEM · Lieutenant Governor
R
Don Tracy
REP · Former state GOP chair

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

Iowa

Open — Joni Ernst (R) retiring
Toss-up
D
Josh Turek
DEM · State Representative
R
Ashley Hinson
REP · U.S. Representative

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 48 · R 47 · Sabato: Lean D

Kansas

Roger Marshall (R)
Lean R
D
Adam Hamilton
DEM
R
Roger MarshallINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2021

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 49 · R 44 · Sabato: Lean R

Kentucky

Open — Mitch McConnell (R) retiring
Solid R
D
Charles Booker
DEM · Former state representative
R
Andy Barr
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Louisiana

Bill Cassidy (R) lost primary
Solid R
D
Jamie Davis
DEM
R
Julia Letlow
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Maine

Susan Collins (R)
Toss-up
D
Troy Jackson
DEM · Former Maine Senate President
R
Susan CollinsINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 1997

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 51 · R 45 · Sabato: Lean D

Massachusetts

Ed Markey (D)
Solid D
D
Ed MarkeyINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2013
R
John Deaton
REP · Attorney

No recent public polls · Last poll:

Logged poll: UMass Lowell, October 18, 2026: D 55 · R 26 · Sabato: Safe D

Michigan

Open — Gary Peters (D) retiring
Toss-up
D
Abdul El-Sayed
DEM · Physician; former Detroit health director
R
Mike Rogers
REP · Former U.S. Representative

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 53 · R 42 · Sabato: Lean D

Minnesota

Open — Tina Smith (D) retiring
Lean D
D
Peggy Flanagan
DEM · Lieutenant Governor
R
Michele Tafoya
REP · Former sports broadcaster

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: AtlasIntel, November 1, 2026: D 48.1 · R 45.7 · Sabato: Likely D

Mississippi

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Likely R
D
Scott Colom
DEM · District Attorney
R
Cindy Hyde-SmithINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2018
I
Ty Pinkins
IND

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Montana

Open — Steve Daines (R) retiring
Solid R
D
Alani Bankhead
DEM
R
Kurt Alme
REP · Former U.S. Attorney
I
Seth Bodnar
IND · Independent; former University of Montana president

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Nebraska

Pete Ricketts (R)
Likely R
R
Pete RickettsINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2023
I
Dan Osborn
IND · Independent; union leader, no Democrat on ballot

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: YouGov, October 29, 2026: I 49 · R 49 · Sabato: Likely R

New Hampshire

Open — Jeanne Shaheen (D) retiring
Toss-up
D
Chris Pappas
DEM · U.S. Representative
R
John E. Sununu
REP · Former U.S. Senator

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: AtlasIntel, November 1, 2026: D 52.3 · R 44.2 · Sabato: Lean D

New Jersey

Cory Booker (D)
Solid D
D
Cory BookerINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2013
R
Justin Murphy
REP

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

New Mexico

Ben Ray Luján (D)
Solid D
D
Ben Ray LujánINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2021
R
Larry Marker
REP

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

North Carolina

Open — Thom Tillis (R) retiring
Lean D
D
Roy Cooper
DEM · Former Governor
R
Michael Whatley
REP · Former RNC chair

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: AtlasIntel, November 1, 2026: D 56.4 · R 41.5 · Sabato: Likely D

Ohio (special)

Jon Husted (R), appointed
Toss-up
D
Sherrod Brown
DEM · Former U.S. Senator
R
Jon HustedINC
REP · Appointed senator; former Lt. Governor

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 49 · R 44 · Sabato: Lean D

Oklahoma

Open — interim Sen. Alan Armstrong (R) not running
Solid R
D
N'Kiyla Thomas
DEM · Nurse
R
Kevin Hern
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Oregon

Jeff Merkley (D)
Solid D
D
Jeff MerkleyINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2009
R
David Brock Smith
REP · State Senator

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

Rhode Island

Jack Reed (D)
Solid D
D
Jack ReedINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 1997
R
Raymond McKay
REP

No recent public polls · Last poll:

Logged poll: Emerson, October 11, 2026: D 59 · R 25 · Sabato: Safe D

South Carolina

Darline Graham (R), appointed after Lindsey Graham's death
Lean R
D
Annie Andrews
DEM · Pediatrician
R
Darline GrahamINC
REP · Appointed senator; ex-commissioner, SC Commission for the Blind

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, October 26, 2026: D 48 · R 48 · Sabato: Lean R

South Dakota

Mike Rounds (R)
Solid R
I
Brian Bengs
IND
R
Mike RoundsINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2015

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: Emerson College Polling, October 21, 2026: I 42 · R 50 · Sabato: Safe R

Tennessee

Bill Hagerty (R)
Solid R
D
Marquita Bradshaw
DEM
R
Bill HagertyINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2021

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Texas

John Cornyn (R) lost primary
Toss-up
D
James Talarico
DEM · State Representative
R
Ken Paxton
REP · Texas Attorney General

Recent polling available · Last poll:

Logged poll: NYT/Siena, November 1, 2026: D 50 · R 43 · Sabato: Lean D

Virginia

Mark Warner (D)
Solid D
D
Mark WarnerINC
DEM · U.S. Senator since 2009
R
Bert Mizusawa
REP

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe D

West Virginia

Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Solid R
D
Rachel Fetty Anderson
DEM
R
Shelley Moore CapitoINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2015

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R

Wyoming

Open — Cynthia Lummis (R) retiring
Solid R
D
James W. Byrd
DEM
R
Harriet Hageman
REP · U.S. Representative

No recent public polls · No polls logged

No recent public poll logged. · Sabato: Safe R
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