Marquita Bradshaw vs. Bill Hagerty polls: Tennessee senate race 2026
Marquita Bradshaw vs. Bill Hagerty · Bill Hagerty (R)
Election Day: · Tennessee state guide
Bill Hagerty won by 12.2 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: R +26.1 (14% counted) → now R +12.2
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Tennessee Senate result
Bill Hagerty (Republican) won the Tennessee Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Bill Hagerty had 55.1% to Marquita Bradshaw's 42.9%, a margin of 12.2 points.
The seat was held by a Republican before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 14% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 26.1 points; the lead narrowed to 12.2 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Certified results come from the Tennessee election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified public poll is in our dataset yet
As of November 3, 2026, we have not logged a verified public poll of the 2026 Tennessee U.S. Senate general election. That does not mean no poll exists. We add a poll only after checking its original release for the results, field dates and sample size.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe R · Tennessee voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Marquita Bradshaw
Bill Hagerty
U.S. Senator since 2021
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
- Tennessee Governor race · Solid R
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
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Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Tennessee Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Tennessee election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Tennessee in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No polls have been logged in this dataset. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Tennessee Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Tennessee's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Tennessee?
On November 3, polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
No poll table is shown yet because no verified poll of this race is logged. When one is added, it will link to the original release. Recent polls in other races are on our latest polls page.
Where can I follow live Tennessee results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Tennessee election office.
Voting in Tennessee
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · Official source ↗
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 29, 2026 · Official source ↗
- Absentee ballot request deadline: · Official source ↗Check with your county election commission.
Not verified in this guide: Absentee ballot return deadline.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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