Midterm Election 2026

Pennsylvania Governor 2026

Josh Shapiro vs. Stacy Garrity · Josh Shapiro (D)

Cook: Solid DSabato: Likely D
Race insight · September 30, 2026

Josh Shapiro (D) leads Stacy Garrity (R) by 20.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending September 24, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.

Poll trend

Head-to-head

Candidates

Pennsylvania

Josh Shapiro (D)
Solid D
D
Josh ShapiroINC
DEM · Governor since 2023
R
Stacy Garrity
REP · State Treasurer
Latest poll: NYT/Siena, September 24, 2026: D 58 · R 38 · Sabato: Likely D
Candidate background

Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Pennsylvania Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Pennsylvania election office via vote.gov.

Every poll
Public general-election polls, newest first
PollsterEnd dateJosh Shapiro (D)Stacy Garrity (R)Margin
NYT/SienaSeptember 24, 20265838D +20

Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.

Voting in Pennsylvania

Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Pennsylvania on vote.gov. See all Pennsylvania races.

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