Minnesota
Open — Tina Smith (D) retiring
D
Peggy Flanagan
DEM · Lieutenant Governor
R
Michele Tafoya
REP · Former sports broadcaster
Latest poll: KSTP/SurveyUSA, September 16, 2026: D 42 · R 42 · Sabato: Likely D
Minnesota Senate 2026
Peggy Flanagan vs. Michele Tafoya · Open — Tina Smith (D) retiring
Cook: Likely DSabato: Likely D
Election results · unofficial
All live results →Race insight · September 30, 2026
The U.S. Senate race in Minnesota is effectively tied in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending September 16, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it Likely D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.
Poll trend
Head-to-head
Candidates
Likely D
Candidate background
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Minnesota Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Minnesota election office via vote.gov.
Every poll
| Pollster | End date | Peggy Flanagan (D) | Michele Tafoya (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | September 16, 2026 | 42 | 42 | Tie |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
Voting in Minnesota
Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Minnesota on vote.gov. See all Minnesota races.
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