Jeff Merkley vs. David Brock Smith polls: Oregon senate race 2026
Jeff Merkley vs. David Brock Smith · Jeff Merkley (D)
Election Day: · Oregon state guide
Jeff Merkley won by 19.3 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:00 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET: D +23.5 (43% counted) → now D +19.3
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Oregon Senate result
Jeff Merkley (Democrat) won the Oregon Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:00 PM ET. With 94% of the expected vote counted, Jeff Merkley had 58.0% to David Smith's 38.7%, a margin of 19.3 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET, 43% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 23.5 points; the lead narrowed to 19.3 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Certified results come from the Oregon election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified public poll is in our dataset yet
As of November 3, 2026, we have not logged a verified public poll of the 2026 Oregon U.S. Senate general election. That does not mean no poll exists. We add a poll only after checking its original release for the results, field dates and sample size.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe D · Oregon voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Jeff Merkley
U.S. Senator since 2009
David Brock Smith
State Senator
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
- Oregon Governor race · Likely D
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- When Will 2026 Election Results Be Known? · Analysis
- Election night 2026: an hour-by-hour guide to the Senate races that matter · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Oregon Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Oregon election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Oregon Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Oregon in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No polls have been logged in this dataset. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Oregon Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Oregon's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Oregon?
On November 3, polls in Oregon close at 10 p.m. ET in Malheur County and 11 p.m. ET in most of the state. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
No poll table is shown yet because no verified poll of this race is logged. When one is added, it will link to the original release. Recent polls in other races are on our latest polls page.
Where can I follow live Oregon results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Oregon election office.
Voting in Oregon
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · online or mail · postmark by this date · Official source ↗Online by 11:59 p.m.; mailed cards postmarked by this date.
- Counties mail ballots to voters: · mail through October 20, 2026 (opens) · Official source ↗Oregon votes by mail.
- Ballot postmark / drop box deadline: · mail or official drop box · postmark by this date · Official source ↗Drop boxes close at 8 p.m.
- Last day for postmarked ballots to arrive: · mail · must be received by this date · Official source ↗
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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