Michigan
Open — Gary Peters (D) retiring
D
Abdul El-Sayed
DEM · Physician; former Detroit health director
R
Mike Rogers
REP · Former U.S. Representative
Latest poll: Big Data Poll, September 25, 2026: D 47 · R 42 · Sabato: Lean D
Michigan Senate 2026
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers · Open — Gary Peters (D) retiring
Cook: Toss-upSabato: Lean D
Election results · unofficial
All live results →Race insight · September 30, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D) leads Mike Rogers (R) by 3.7 points in the average of 6 public polls from the 14 days ending September 25, 2026. That lead is within the typical margin of error, so the race is statistically close. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D.
Poll trend
Head-to-head
Candidates
Toss-up
Campaign news · summaries in our words
- Michigan Senate
Rogers says El-Sayed cares more about Gaza than gas prices; El-Sayed says he wants tax dollars kept home to rebuild Michigan schools. NBC Montana (Sinclair) ↗
Candidate background
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Michigan Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Michigan election office via vote.gov.
Every poll
| Pollster | End date | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Data Poll | September 25, 2026 | 47 | 42 | D +5 |
| NYT/Siena | September 24, 2026 | 49 | 44 | D +5 |
| Rasmussen | September 24, 2026 | 47 | 44 | D +3 |
| Suffolk | September 22, 2026 | 47 | 40 | D +7 |
| co/efficient | September 22, 2026 | 50 | 50 | Tie |
| Emerson | September 17, 2026 | 48 | 46 | D +2 |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
Voting in Michigan
Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Michigan on vote.gov. See all Michigan races.
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