Midterm Election 2026

New Hampshire Governor 2026

Cinde Warmington vs. Kelly Ayotte · Kelly Ayotte (R)

Cook: Likely RSabato: Likely R
Race insight · September 30, 2026

Kelly Ayotte (R) leads Cinde Warmington (D) by 11.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending September 24, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it Likely R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely R.

Poll trend

Head-to-head

Candidates

New Hampshire

Kelly Ayotte (R)
Likely R
D
Cinde Warmington
DEM · Former Executive Councilor
R
Kelly AyotteINC
REP · Governor since 2025
Latest poll: NYT/Siena, September 24, 2026: D 41 · R 52 · Sabato: Likely R
Candidate background

Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: New Hampshire Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the New Hampshire election office via vote.gov.

Every poll
Public general-election polls, newest first
PollsterEnd dateCinde Warmington (D)Kelly Ayotte (R)Margin
NYT/SienaSeptember 24, 20264152R +11

Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.

Voting in New Hampshire

Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in New Hampshire on vote.gov. See all New Hampshire races.

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