Ned Lamont vs. Ryan Fazio polls: Connecticut governor race 2026
Ned Lamont vs. Ryan Fazio · Ned Lamont (D)
Election Day: · Connecticut state guide
Ned Lamont won by 19.1 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: D +46.8 (3% counted) → now D +19.1
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Connecticut Governor result
Ned Lamont (Democrat) won the Connecticut governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET. With 98% of the expected vote counted, Ned Lamont had 59.5% to Ryan Fazio's 40.5%, a margin of 19.1 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 3% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 46.8 points; the lead narrowed to 19.1 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island
Certified results come from the Connecticut election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is Emerson, field dates ending : Ned Lamont 51%, Ryan Fazio 38%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe D · Polls and sources · Connecticut voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Governor races with recent verified polls: Texas (Abbott +1.0 in the 14-day average), Kansas (Masterson +1.5 in the 14-day average), Nebraska (Pillen +3.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Ned Lamont
Governor since 2019
Ryan Fazio
State Senator
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Ned Lamont % | Ryan Fazio % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EmersonOctober 10, 2026 – October 12, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 800LV | 51 | 38 | Original source ↗Emerson release: Oct 10-12, 800 LV; Lamont 51, Fazio 38, 11% undecided.Sponsor: Nexstar Media |
| Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 8, 2026 – October 12, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1225LV | 58 | 38 | Original source ↗Quinnipiac release PDF confirms field dates, 1225 likely voters, Lamont 58, Fazio 38.Method: Live interviewer phone (RDD landline and cell) |
| Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 8, 2026 – September 14, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1288LV | 55 | 38 | Original source ↗Quinnipiac release PDF confirms field dates, 1288 likely voters, Lamont 55, Fazio 38.Method: Live interviewer phone (RDD landline and cell) |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 3 logged polls listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Connecticut in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D.
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island · Analysis
- Divided Government in 2027: What Congress and the President Can Each Do · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Connecticut Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Connecticut election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Connecticut governor race?
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Connecticut in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Connecticut governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Connecticut's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Connecticut?
On November 3, polls in Connecticut close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Connecticut results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Connecticut election office.
Voting in Connecticut
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Advance voter registration deadline: · advance registration · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Same-day registration remains available during early voting and on Election Day.
- Early voting and same-day registration: · in person through November 1, 2026 · Official source ↗10 a.m.–6 p.m.; extended to 8 a.m.–8 p.m. on October 27 and 29.
- Request an absentee ballot: · absentee request · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Allow time for delivery. Connecticut changed to no-excuse absentee voting in 2026.
- Election Day same-day registration: · in person · Official source ↗Confirm your town's designated same-day registration location.
Not verified in this guide: Absentee ballot return deadline not yet independently verified here..
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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