Annie Andrews vs. Darline Graham polls: South Carolina senate race 2026
Annie Andrews vs. Darline Graham · Darline Graham (R), appointed after Lindsey Graham's death
Election Day: · South Carolina state guide
Annie Andrews won by 4.5 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 10:07 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: D +6.4 (53% counted) → now D +4.5
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
South Carolina Senate result
Annie Andrews (Democrat) won the South Carolina Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 10:07 PM ET. With 100% of the expected vote counted, Annie Andrews had 51.1% to Darline Graham's 46.6%, a margin of 4.5 points.
The seat was held by a Republican before the election, so this result is a change of party.
The final 14-day polling average, based on 1 verified poll, was tied; the result so far is D +4.5, 4.5 points more Democratic than the polls.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 53% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 6.4 points; the lead narrowed to 4.5 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: 2026 Midterm Results: What the Numbers Show · How Accurate Were the 2026 Polls? A Race-by-Race Check · Iowa, Kansas and South Carolina: The Senate Flips Fewer People Expected
Certified results come from the South Carolina election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
Recent verified polling is available
1 verified poll ended in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Their simple average: Annie Andrews 48.0%, Darline Graham 48.0% (not a forecast).
Most recent: NYT/Siena, field dates ending : Annie Andrews 48%, Darline Graham 48%.
1 logged poll is shown below but left out of averages under our methodology; the reason is listed with each poll.
As of October 7, 2026, 1 reported poll was held back from this page until it can be checked against the original release.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Lean R, Sabato Lean R · Polls and sources · South Carolina voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Annie Andrews
Pediatrician
Darline Graham
Appointed senator; ex-commissioner, SC Commission for the Blind
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
Equal-weight arithmetic mean of 1 logged poll ending in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No sample-size or pollster weighting.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Annie Andrews % | Darline Graham % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT/SienaOctober 19, 2026 – October 26, 2026Included in current average | 707LV | 48 | 48 | Original source ↗Siena release gives toplines; Oct 19-26 field dates and LV sample size from news report of the release.Sponsor: The New York Times |
| Targoz Market ResearchOctober 16, 2026 – October 25, 2026Source or essential poll metadata not verified | 895LV | 46 | 47 | Original source ↗Reported by local news; primary release not opened.Sponsor: South Carolina Policy Council |
| The Trafalgar GroupSeptember 23, 2026 – September 25, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1087LV | 42.3 | 43.4 | Original source ↗Original crosstabs provide 42.3/43.4; stored 42/43 were rounded. Field end September 25. |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 3 logged polls listed in the table above.
The U.S. Senate race in South Carolina has less than a one-point gap in the logged poll average in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Lean R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean R.
- South Carolina Governor race · Wilson +7.0 in polls
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- Alaska Senate · Peltola +2.0 · one of the closest races
- 2026 Midterm Results: What the Numbers Show · Analysis
- How Accurate Were the 2026 Polls? A Race-by-Race Check · Analysis
All South Carolina races · Latest polls · Poll closing times
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: South Carolina Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the South Carolina election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?
The U.S. Senate race in South Carolina has less than a one-point gap in the logged poll average in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Lean R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the South Carolina Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check South Carolina's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in South Carolina?
On November 3, polls in South Carolina close at 7 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live South Carolina results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the South Carolina election office.
Voting in South Carolina
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Online, fax or email registration deadline: · online, fax or email · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 11:59 p.m. (In-person deadline was Oct 2; mail must be postmarked by Oct 5.)
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 31, 2026 · Official source ↗Mon–Sat 8:30 a.m.–6 p.m.
- Absentee ballot application deadline: · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 5 p.m.
- Absentee ballot must arrive: · return to county board · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 7 p.m.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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