Jerri Green vs. Marsha Blackburn polls: Tennessee governor race 2026
Jerri Green vs. Marsha Blackburn · Open — Bill Lee (R) term-limited
Election Day: · Tennessee state guide
Marsha Blackburn won by 2.5 points · called by Fox News at Nov 4, 1:42 AM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: R +20.4 (11% counted) → now R +2.5
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Tennessee Governor result
Marsha Blackburn (Republican) won the Tennessee governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 4, 1:42 AM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Marsha Blackburn had 45.5% to Jerri Green's 43.0%, a margin of 2.5 points.
The seat was held by a Republican before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 11% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 20.4 points; the lead narrowed to 2.5 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Certified results come from the Tennessee election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is Quantus Insights, field dates ending : Jerri Green 28%, Marsha Blackburn 49%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe R · Polls and sources · Tennessee voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Governor races with recent verified polls: Texas (Abbott +1.0 in the 14-day average), Kansas (Masterson +1.5 in the 14-day average), Nebraska (Pillen +3.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Jerri Green
State Representative
Marsha Blackburn
U.S. Senator
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Jerri Green % | Marsha Blackburn % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus InsightsAugust 5, 2025 – August 7, 2025Outside the selected averaging window | 600RV | 28 | 49 | Original source ↗Quantus release: Aug 5-7, 2025, 600 RV; Blackburn 49, Green 28, undecided 17. Taken before the primaries. |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 1 logged poll listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Tennessee in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R.
- Tennessee Senate race · Solid R
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- Divided Government in 2027: What Congress and the President Can Each Do · Analysis
- January 3, 2027: How the New Congress Begins · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Tennessee Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Tennessee election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Tennessee governor race?
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Tennessee in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Tennessee governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Tennessee's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Tennessee?
On November 3, polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Tennessee results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Tennessee election office.
Voting in Tennessee
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · Official source ↗
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 29, 2026 · Official source ↗
- Absentee ballot request deadline: · Official source ↗Check with your county election commission.
Not verified in this guide: Absentee ballot return deadline.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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