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Alani Bankhead vs. Kurt Alme polls: Montana senate race 2026

Alani Bankhead vs. Kurt Alme · Open — Steve Daines (R) retiring

Election Day: · Montana state guide

Live election results · unofficial
✓ Winner: Kurt Alme (R)Updated Nov 12, 12:19 PM ET
Kurt Alme Republican ✓48.2%
Seth Bodnar Independent37.7%

Kurt Alme won by 10.4 points · called by Fox News at Nov 4, 2:59 AM ET

99% of expected vote counted

Lead at Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET: R +10.3 (27% counted) → now R +10.4

Post on X

Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.

All races: seat count, map and winners →

Result summary · unofficial · as of Nov 12, 12:19 PM ET

Montana Senate result

Kurt Alme (Republican) won the Montana Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 4, 2:59 AM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Kurt Alme had 48.2% to Seth Bodnar's 37.7%, a margin of 10.4 points.

The seat was held by a Republican before the election.

No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.

On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET, 27% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 10.3 points; the lead held roughly steady to 10.4 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.

Certified results come from the Montana election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.

Poll status · dataset updated

No verified public poll is in our dataset yet

As of November 3, 2026, we have not logged a verified public poll of the 2026 Montana U.S. Senate general election. That does not mean no poll exists. We add a poll only after checking its original release for the results, field dates and sample size.

As of October 7, 2026, 2 reported polls were held back from this page until they can be checked against the original release.

Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe R · Montana voting guide · Latest polls in all races

Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).

Cook: Solid RSabato: Safe R

Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings

Candidate coverage

Candidates

Democrat

Alani Bankhead

Republican

Kurt Alme

Former U.S. Attorney

Independent

Seth Bodnar

Independent; former University of Montana president

Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.

Keep reading

All Montana races · Latest polls · Poll closing times

Candidate background

Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Montana Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Montana election office via vote.gov.

Questions people ask

What do verified polls show in the 2026 Montana Senate race?

No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Montana in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No polls have been logged in this dataset. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.

When is the Montana Senate election?

The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Montana's rules on vote.gov.

What time do polls close in Montana?

On November 3, polls in Montana close at 10 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.

Where can I check the poll sources?

No poll table is shown yet because no verified poll of this race is logged. When one is added, it will link to the original release. Recent polls in other races are on our latest polls page.

Where can I follow live Montana results?

Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Montana election office.

Poll closing times by state · Live results

Official government resources · separate from our coverage

Voting in Montana

Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.

Verified deadlines

Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.

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