Hannah Pingree vs. Robert B. Charles polls: Maine governor race 2026
Hannah Pingree vs. Robert B. Charles · Open — Janet Mills (D) term-limited
Election Day: · Maine state guide
Hannah Pingree won by 17.0 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:45 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: R +5.5 (<1% counted) → now D +17.0
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Maine Governor result
Hannah Pingree (Democrat) won the Maine governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:45 PM ET. With 97% of the expected vote counted, Hannah Pingree had 54.4% to Robert Charles's 37.4%, a margin of 17.0 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
The final 14-day polling average, based on 2 verified polls, was D +6.0; the result so far is D +17.0, 11.0 points more Democratic than the polls.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, under 1% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 5.5 points; the lead later changed hands, and the Democrat was ahead by 17.0 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: How Accurate Were the 2026 Polls? A Race-by-Race Check · When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island
Certified results come from the Maine election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
Recent verified polling is available
2 verified polls ended in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Their simple average: Hannah Pingree 46.5%, Robert B. Charles 40.5% (not a forecast).
Most recent: NYT/Siena, field dates ending : Hannah Pingree 49%, Robert B. Charles 37%.
1 logged poll is shown below but left out of averages under our methodology; the reason is listed with each poll.
As of October 7, 2026, 1 reported poll was held back from this page until it can be checked against the original release.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Likely D · Polls and sources · Maine voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Hannah Pingree
Former Maine House Speaker
Robert B. Charles
Rick Bennett
Independent; state senator
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
Equal-weight arithmetic mean of 2 logged polls ending in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No sample-size or pollster weighting.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Hannah Pingree % | Robert B. Charles % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT/SienaOctober 23, 2026 – November 1, 2026Included in current average | 714LV | 49 | 37 | Original source ↗Siena release gives toplines; Oct 23-Nov 1 field dates and LV sample size from news report of the release (Irish Times, Nov 2).Sponsor: The New York Times |
| Marist PollOctober 22, 2026 – October 25, 2026Included in current average | 1449LV | 44 | 44 | Original source ↗Marist release: Oct 22-25, 1,449 RV; likely-voter toplines shown (LV n not published).Method: Multi-mode survey |
| Suffolk UniversityOctober 8, 2026 – October 11, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 500LV | 49.4 | 38 | Original source ↗Suffolk marginals: Oct 8-11, 500 LV; Pingree 49.4, Charles 38.0, Bennett (I) 7.6. |
| Marist PollOctober 1, 2026 – October 4, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1505RV | 52 | 40 | Original source ↗Marist release confirms field dates, RV sample size and Senate/governor toplines.Method: Multi-mode survey |
| co/efficientSeptember 28, 2026 – September 30, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1240LV | 47 | 38 | Original source ↗Senate 46/48 and governor 47/38 match original toplines.Bennett (I) 6Method: Text responses and landline interviews |
| NYT/SienaStart not recorded · ends September 24, 2026Source or essential poll metadata not verified | Sample not recordedLV | 47 | 34 | Original source ↗Siena's primary release confirms this result and likely-voter population. The release page does not provide complete field dates or sample size; this record remains excluded from averages pending those details. |
| AARP / Fabrizio Ward / Impact ResearchSeptember 20, 2026 – September 22, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 982LV | 52 | 39 | Original source ↗AARP Research/press release confirms Senate 50/47, governor 52/39, field dates and n=982 likely voters.Bennett (I) 6Sponsor: AARP |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 7 logged polls listed in the table above.
Hannah Pingree (D) leads Robert B. Charles (R) by 6.0 points in the average of 2 public polls from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.
- Maine Senate race · Jackson +5.5 in polls
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- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- 2026 Midterm Results: What the Numbers Show · Analysis
- How Accurate Were the 2026 Polls? A Race-by-Race Check · Analysis
- Maine Governor
Data for Progress (Oct 23–27): Maine governor Pingree 49%, Charles 37%, Bennett (I) 7%. Data for Progress ↗
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Maine Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Maine election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Maine governor race?
Hannah Pingree (D) leads Robert B. Charles (R) by 6.0 points in the average of 2 public polls from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Maine governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Maine's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Maine?
On November 3, polls in Maine close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Maine results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Maine election office.
Voting in Maine
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- In-person absentee (early) voting at town or city hall: · in person through October 29, 2026 · Official source ↗No excuse needed.
- Voter registration deadline (online by 5 p.m.; mail received): · online or mail · Official source ↗You can still register in person at your town office or at the polls.
- Last day to request a no-excuse absentee ballot: · request (closes) · Official source ↗
- Election Day registration: · in person · Official source ↗
- Absentee ballot must arrive: · mail or delivery · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Must arrive by 8 p.m.; a postmark does not count.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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