N'Kiyla Thomas vs. Kevin Hern polls: Oklahoma senate race 2026
N'Kiyla Thomas vs. Kevin Hern · Open — interim Sen. Alan Armstrong (R) not running
Election Day: · Oklahoma state guide
Kevin Hern won by 17.9 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: R +5.2 (19% counted) → now R +17.9
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Oklahoma Senate result
Kevin Hern (Republican) won the Oklahoma Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET. With 100% of the expected vote counted, Kevin Hern had 57.2% to N'Kiyla Thomas's 39.3%, a margin of 17.9 points.
The seat was held by a Republican before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 19% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 5.2 points; the lead widened to 17.9 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Certified results come from the Oklahoma election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified public poll is in our dataset yet
As of November 3, 2026, we have not logged a verified public poll of the 2026 Oklahoma U.S. Senate general election. That does not mean no poll exists. We add a poll only after checking its original release for the results, field dates and sample size.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe R · Oklahoma voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
N'Kiyla Thomas
Nurse
Kevin Hern
U.S. Representative
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
- Oklahoma Governor race · Solid R
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- Divided Government in 2027: What Congress and the President Can Each Do · Analysis
- January 3, 2027: How the New Congress Begins · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Oklahoma Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Oklahoma election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Oklahoma in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No polls have been logged in this dataset. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Oklahoma Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Oklahoma's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Oklahoma?
On November 3, polls in Oklahoma close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
No poll table is shown yet because no verified poll of this race is logged. When one is added, it will link to the original release. Recent polls in other races are on our latest polls page.
Where can I follow live Oklahoma results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Oklahoma election office.
Voting in Oklahoma
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · mail or in person (closes) · Official source ↗
- Absentee ballot application deadline: · application (closes) · Official source ↗
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 31, 2026 · Official source ↗Oct 28-30 8 a.m.-6 p.m.; Sat Oct 31 8 a.m.-2 p.m.
- Absentee ballot hand-delivery deadline: · in person · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Hand-delivered ballots due to county election board by close of business the Monday before the election.
- Absentee ballot return deadline (mail): · mail · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Mailed ballots must reach county election board by 7 p.m. election night.
Not verified in this guide: Same-day registration (not offered per official pages reviewed).
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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