David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany polls: Wisconsin governor race 2026
David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany · Open — Tony Evers (D) retiring
Election Day: · Wisconsin state guide
David Crowley won by 8.0 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:45 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET: D +10.5 (4% counted) → now D +8.0
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Wisconsin Governor result
David Crowley (Democrat) won the Wisconsin governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:45 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, David Crowley had 54.0% to Tom Tiffany's 46.0%, a margin of 8.0 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET, 4% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 10.5 points; the lead narrowed to 8.0 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: How Recounts Work: Automatic Triggers, Requests and Audits · The 2026 Governor Races to Watch
Certified results come from the Wisconsin election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is Marquette Law School, field dates ending : David Crowley 49%, Tom Tiffany 46%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
As of October 7, 2026, 1 reported poll was held back from this page until it can be checked against the original release.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Toss-up, Sabato Lean D · Polls and sources · Wisconsin voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Governor races with recent verified polls: Texas (Abbott +1.0 in the 14-day average), Kansas (Masterson +1.5 in the 14-day average), Nebraska (Pillen +3.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
David Crowley
Milwaukee County Executive
Tom Tiffany
U.S. Representative
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | David Crowley % | Tom Tiffany % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette Law SchoolSeptember 16, 2026 – September 23, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 692LV | 49 | 46 | Original source ↗Fox 11 report: Sept 16-23, 843 voters incl. 692 LV (±4.8); LV Crowley 49, Tiffany 46, undecided 5. |
| Marquette Law SchoolAugust 12, 2026 – August 20, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 891RV | 44 | 44 | Original source ↗WPR report: Aug 12-20, 891 RV (±4); RV Crowley 44, Tiffany 44. LV cut was 49-44, LV sample size not published. |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 2 logged polls listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Wisconsin in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D.
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- How Recounts Work: Automatic Triggers, Requests and Audits · Analysis
- When Will 2026 Election Results Be Known? · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Wisconsin Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Wisconsin election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Wisconsin in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Wisconsin governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Wisconsin's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Wisconsin?
On November 3, polls in Wisconsin close at 9 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Wisconsin results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Wisconsin election office.
Voting in Wisconsin
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline (online or mail): · online or mail (closes) · Official source ↗Official rule: online/mail registration up to 20 days before the election.
- Absentee ballot request deadline (mail): · application · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Official rule: request in clerk's office by 5 p.m. on 5th day before the election.
- Register in person at municipal clerk (deadline): · in person (closes) · Official source ↗Official rule: in clerk's office until the Friday before the election.
- Election Day registration: · in person · Official source ↗Register at your polling place on Election Day with proof of residence.
- Absentee ballot return deadline: · mail or in person · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Must be delivered to polling place/central count by 8 p.m. on Election Day.
Not verified in this guide: Early in-person (absentee) voting start date - not confirmed on an accessible official page (last possible day is Sun Nov 1 per WEC rule; hours set by municipalities); Explicit 2026 dates on WEC calendar (elections.wi.gov 2026 hub/calendar blocked); dates above derived from official rules with unambiguous 2026 dates.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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