Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs polls: Arizona governor race 2026
Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs · Katie Hobbs (D)
Election Day: · Arizona state guide
Katie Hobbs won by 13.2 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET: D +18.0 (67% counted) → now D +13.2
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Arizona Governor result
Katie Hobbs (Democrat) won the Arizona governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Katie Hobbs had 55.7% to Andy Biggs's 42.5%, a margin of 13.2 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 11:25 PM ET, 67% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 18.0 points; the lead narrowed to 13.2 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: The 2026 Governor Races to Watch
Certified results come from the Arizona election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is HighGround Public Affairs, field dates ending : Katie Hobbs 49.5%, Andy Biggs 34.3%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Lean D, Sabato Likely D · Polls and sources · Arizona voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Governor races with recent verified polls: Texas (Abbott +1.0 in the 14-day average), Kansas (Masterson +1.5 in the 14-day average), Nebraska (Pillen +3.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Katie Hobbs
Governor since 2023
Andy Biggs
U.S. Representative
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Katie Hobbs % | Andy Biggs % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround Public AffairsAugust 15, 2026 – August 18, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 400LV | 49.5 | 34.3 | Original source ↗HighGround release: Aug 15-18, 400 LV (±4.9), weighted to GOP +8; Hobbs 49.5, Biggs 34.3.Method: Live telephone interviews |
| Emerson CollegeNovember 8, 2025 – November 10, 2025Outside the selected averaging window | 850RV | 44 | 43 | Original source ↗Emerson release: Nov 8-10, 2025, 850 RV (±3.3); Hobbs 44, Biggs 43, undecided 13.Method: Text-to-web and online panel |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 2 logged polls listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Arizona in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Lean D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- When Will 2026 Election Results Be Known? · Analysis
- The 2026 Governor Races to Watch · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Arizona Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Arizona election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Arizona governor race?
No recent public polling is logged for the governor's race in Arizona in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Lean D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Arizona governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Arizona's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Arizona?
On November 3, polls in Arizona close at 9 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Arizona results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Arizona election office.
Voting in Arizona
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Register to vote: · online, mail or in person · Official source ↗11:59 p.m. Mail registration must be postmarked by this date per Vote.gov.
- Early voting begins; early ballots mailed: · in person and mail (opens) · Official source ↗
- Early ballot must arrive: · mail or drop-off · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 7 p.m. in your county; a postmark alone is insufficient.
Not verified in this guide: Mail ballot request and final early-voting date not yet independently verified..
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
Add this live-updating poll widget to your article or blog. Free with the attribution link intact. Commercial licensing: contact us.
Keep this data free
Midterm Results Live is independent and takes no money from campaigns or parties. Reader support pays for hosting and data work. This is not a political contribution.
Support Midterm Results Live