Midterm Election 2026

Alaska Senate 2026

Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan · Dan Sullivan (R)

Cook: Toss-upSabato: Toss-up
Race insight · September 30, 2026

Mary Peltola (D) leads Dan Sullivan (R) by 1.5 points in the average of 4 public polls from the 14 days ending September 25, 2026. That lead is within the typical margin of error, so the race is statistically close. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Toss-up.

Poll trend

Head-to-head

Candidates

Alaska

Dan Sullivan (R)
Toss-up
D
Mary Peltola
DEM · Former U.S. Representative
R
Dan SullivanINC
REP · U.S. Senator since 2015
Latest poll: Trafalgar, September 25, 2026: D 46 · R 47 · Sabato: Toss-up
Candidate background

Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Alaska Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Alaska election office via vote.gov.

Every poll
Public general-election polls, newest first
PollsterEnd dateMary Peltola (D)Dan Sullivan (R)Margin
TrafalgarSeptember 25, 20264647R +1
Alaska Survey ResearchSeptember 22, 20265248D +4
Fabrizio/AnzaloneSeptember 17, 20265347D +6
co/efficientSeptember 17, 20264649R +3

Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.

Voting in Alaska

Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Alaska on vote.gov. See all Alaska races.

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