Alaska Senate 2026
Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan · Dan Sullivan (R)
Mary Peltola (D) leads Dan Sullivan (R) by 1.5 points in the average of 4 public polls from the 14 days ending September 25, 2026. That lead is within the typical margin of error, so the race is statistically close. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Toss-up.
Head-to-head
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Alaska Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Alaska election office via vote.gov.
| Pollster | End date | Mary Peltola (D) | Dan Sullivan (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar | September 25, 2026 | 46 | 47 | R +1 |
| Alaska Survey Research | September 22, 2026 | 52 | 48 | D +4 |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | September 17, 2026 | 53 | 47 | D +6 |
| co/efficient | September 17, 2026 | 46 | 49 | R +3 |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Alaska on vote.gov. See all Alaska races.
Add this live-updating poll widget to your article or blog. Free with the attribution link intact. Commercial licensing: contact us.