Florida (special) Senate 2026
Angie Nixon vs. Ashley Moody · Ashley Moody (R), appointed
Ashley Moody (R) leads Angie Nixon (D) by 6.0 points in the average of 3 public polls from the 14 days ending September 24, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely R.
Head-to-head
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Florida (special) Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Florida election office via vote.gov.
| Pollster | End date | Angie Nixon (D) | Ashley Moody (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Univ. | September 24, 2026 | 40 | 51 | R +11 |
| InsiderAdvantage | September 21, 2026 | 42 | 49 | R +7 |
| St. Pete Polls | September 19, 2026 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
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