Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins polls: Georgia senate race 2026
Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins · Jon Ossoff (D)
Election Day: · Georgia state guide
Jon Ossoff won by 18.1 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: D +23.6 (63% counted) → now D +18.1
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Georgia Senate result
Jon Ossoff (Democrat) won the Georgia Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Jon Ossoff had 59.0% to Mike Collins's 41.0%, a margin of 18.1 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 63% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 23.6 points; the lead narrowed to 18.1 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: After Election Day 2026: What the Canvass and Certification Steps Mean · Georgia 2026 Senate and Governor Polls, and the 50% Runoff Rule · The 2026 Senate Math: What Each Party Needs on November 3
Certified results come from the Georgia election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is Quantus Insights, field dates ending : Jon Ossoff 51.8%, Mike Collins 44.9%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
1 logged poll is shown below but left out of averages under our methodology; the reason is listed with each poll.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Likely D, Sabato Likely D · Polls and sources · Georgia voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Jon Ossoff
U.S. Senator since 2021
Mike Collins
U.S. Representative
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Jon Ossoff % | Mike Collins % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus InsightsOctober 15, 2026 – October 17, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 755LV | 51.8 | 44.9 | Original source ↗Atlanta News First report: Oct 15-17, 755 LV; Ossoff 51.8, Collins 44.9. |
| AJC/UGA SPIAOctober 7, 2026 – October 15, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1000LV | 48 | 40 | Original source ↗WSB-TV report: Oct 7-15, 1,000 LV, telephone; Ossoff 48, Collins 40, 12% undecided.Sponsor: Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionMethod: Telephone |
| The Trafalgar GroupOctober 7, 2026 – October 9, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1101LV | 51 | 43 | Original source ↗ |
| InsiderAdvantageSeptember 22, 2026 – September 23, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1200LV | 50 | 42 | Original source ↗Senate 50/42 and governor 46/48 confirmed. Recorded end date was publication date.Method: Text-to-web and online panel |
| Big Data PollSeptember 21, 2026 – September 23, 2026Campaign or party-sponsored internal poll excluded | 678LV | 52.2 | 41 | Original source ↗Original release gives separate RV/LV results; corrected to LV initial-ballot result. Original stored RV values are retained in metadata.Sponsor: Public Polling Project (crowdfunded); not campaign-affiliated per pollsterMethod: 60% live-agent phone; 40% online |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 5 logged polls listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Georgia in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Likely D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.
- Georgia Governor race · Toss-up
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- 2026 Midterm Results: What the Numbers Show · Analysis
- After Election Day 2026: What the Canvass and Certification Steps Mean · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Georgia Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Georgia election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Georgia Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Georgia in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Likely D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Georgia Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Georgia's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Georgia?
On November 3, polls in Georgia close at 7 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Georgia results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Georgia election office.
Voting in Georgia
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · online, mail or in person · Official source ↗Also the last day to update your address.
- Advance (early) in-person voting: · in person through October 30, 2026 · Official source ↗
- Last day to request an absentee ballot: · mail or online (closes) · Official source ↗
- Absentee ballot must arrive: · mail or drop-off · must be received by this date · Official source ↗County registrar must receive it by the close of polls (7 p.m.).
Not verified in this guide: Postmark or receipt rules for each registration method.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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