Mark Warner vs. Bert Mizusawa polls: Virginia senate race 2026
Mark Warner vs. Bert Mizusawa · Mark Warner (D)
Election Day: · Virginia state guide
Mark Warner won by 23.0 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: D +17.2 (54% counted) → now D +23.0
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Virginia Senate result
Mark Warner (Democrat) won the Virginia Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, Mark Warner had 61.4% to Bert Mizusawa's 38.4%, a margin of 23.0 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 54% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 17.2 points; the lead widened to 23.0 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Certified results come from the Virginia election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified public poll is in our dataset yet
As of November 3, 2026, we have not logged a verified public poll of the 2026 Virginia U.S. Senate general election. That does not mean no poll exists. We add a poll only after checking its original release for the results, field dates and sample size.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe D · Virginia voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Mark Warner
U.S. Senator since 2009
Bert Mizusawa
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- When Will 2026 Election Results Be Known? · Analysis
- Cook vs. Sabato: why two top forecasters disagree on six Senate races · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Virginia Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Virginia election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Virginia in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No polls have been logged in this dataset. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Virginia Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Virginia's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Virginia?
On November 3, polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
No poll table is shown yet because no verified poll of this race is logged. When one is added, it will link to the original release. Recent polls in other races are on our latest polls page.
Where can I follow live Virginia results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Virginia election office.
Voting in Virginia
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 31, 2026 · Official source ↗Ends 5 p.m. Saturday, Oct 31.
- Voter registration deadline: · online, mail or in person (closes) · Official source ↗After this, you can register in person and vote a provisional ballot.
- Absentee ballot application deadline: · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 5 p.m.
- Same-day registration with provisional ballot: · in person · Official source ↗
- Mailed absentee ballot postmark deadline: · mail · postmark by this date · Official source ↗Must also reach your registrar by noon on the third day after the election.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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