Jermaine Johnson vs. Alan Wilson polls: South Carolina governor race 2026
Jermaine Johnson vs. Alan Wilson · Open — Henry McMaster (R) term-limited
Election Day: · South Carolina state guide
Alan Wilson won by 4.4 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:47 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: R +1.7 (53% counted) → now R +4.4
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
South Carolina Governor result
Alan Wilson (Republican) won the South Carolina governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 11:47 PM ET. With 100% of the expected vote counted, Alan Wilson had 51.6% to Jermaine Johnson's 47.1%, a margin of 4.4 points.
The seat was held by a Republican before the election.
The final 14-day polling average, based on 1 verified poll, was R +7.0; the result so far is R +4.4, 2.6 points more Democratic than the polls.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 53% counted) showed the Republican ahead by 1.7 points; the lead widened to 4.4 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: Florida, Minnesota and South Carolina: Six Races in One Set of NYT/Siena Polls
Certified results come from the South Carolina election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
Recent verified polling is available
1 verified poll ended in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Their simple average: Jermaine Johnson 44.0%, Alan Wilson 51.0% (not a forecast).
Most recent: NYT/Siena, field dates ending : Jermaine Johnson 44%, Alan Wilson 51%.
1 logged poll is shown below but left out of averages under our methodology; the reason is listed with each poll.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid R, Sabato Safe R · Polls and sources · South Carolina voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Jermaine Johnson
State Representative
Alan Wilson
South Carolina Attorney General
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
Equal-weight arithmetic mean of 1 logged poll ending in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No sample-size or pollster weighting.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Jermaine Johnson % | Alan Wilson % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT/SienaOctober 19, 2026 – October 26, 2026Included in current average | 707LV | 44 | 51 | Original source ↗Siena release gives toplines; Oct 19-26 field dates and LV sample size from news report of the release.Sponsor: The New York Times |
| Targoz Market ResearchOctober 16, 2026 – October 25, 2026Source or essential poll metadata not verified | 895LV | 41 | 51 | Original source ↗Reported by local news; primary release not opened.Sponsor: South Carolina Policy Council |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 2 logged polls listed in the table above.
Alan Wilson (R) leads Jermaine Johnson (D) by 7.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R.
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All South Carolina races · Latest polls · Poll closing times
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: South Carolina Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the South Carolina election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 South Carolina governor race?
Alan Wilson (R) leads Jermaine Johnson (D) by 7.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the South Carolina governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check South Carolina's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in South Carolina?
On November 3, polls in South Carolina close at 7 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live South Carolina results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the South Carolina election office.
Voting in South Carolina
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Online, fax or email registration deadline: · online, fax or email · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 11:59 p.m. (In-person deadline was Oct 2; mail must be postmarked by Oct 5.)
- Early in-person voting: · in person through October 31, 2026 · Official source ↗Mon–Sat 8:30 a.m.–6 p.m.
- Absentee ballot application deadline: · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 5 p.m.
- Absentee ballot must arrive: · return to county board · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 7 p.m.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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