Texas
Greg Abbott (R)
D
Gina Hinojosa
DEM · State Representative
R
Greg AbbottINC
REP · Governor since 2015
Latest poll: Big Data Poll, September 27, 2026: D 44 · R 49 · Sabato: Likely R
Texas Governor 2026
Gina Hinojosa vs. Greg Abbott · Greg Abbott (R)
Cook: Likely RSabato: Likely R
Election results · unofficial
All live results →Race insight · September 30, 2026
Greg Abbott (R) leads Gina Hinojosa (D) by 2.0 points in the average of 3 public polls from the 14 days ending September 27, 2026. That lead is within the typical margin of error, so the race is statistically close. The Cook Political Report rates it Likely R; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely R.
Poll trend
Head-to-head
Candidates
Likely R
Candidate background
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Texas Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Texas election office via vote.gov.
Every poll
| Pollster | End date | Gina Hinojosa (D) | Greg Abbott (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Data Poll | September 27, 2026 | 44 | 49 | R +5 |
| TPOR | September 25, 2026 | 46 | 50 | R +4 |
| Marist | September 20, 2026 | 49 | 46 | D +3 |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
Voting in Texas
Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Texas on vote.gov. See all Texas races.
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