Iowa
Open — Joni Ernst (R) retiring
D
Josh Turek
DEM · State Representative
R
Ashley Hinson
REP · U.S. Representative
Latest poll: InsiderAdvantage, September 26, 2026: D 47 · R 46 · Sabato: Lean D
Iowa Senate 2026
Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson · Open — Joni Ernst (R) retiring
Cook: Toss-upSabato: Lean D
Election results · unofficial
All live results →Race insight · September 30, 2026
The U.S. Senate race in Iowa is effectively tied in the average of 5 public polls from the 14 days ending September 26, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D.
Poll trend
Head-to-head
Candidates
Toss-up
Candidate background
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Iowa Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Iowa election office via vote.gov.
Every poll
| Pollster | End date | Josh Turek (D) | Ashley Hinson (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | September 26, 2026 | 47 | 46 | D +1 |
| Marist | September 22, 2026 | 50 | 42 | D +8 |
| Trafalgar | September 19, 2026 | 42 | 44 | R +2 |
| co/efficient | September 16, 2026 | 43 | 48 | R +5 |
| Cygnal | September 15, 2026 | 43 | 43 | Tie |
Margins under about 4 points are within typical sampling error. See our methodology.
Voting in Iowa
Check registration deadlines and early or mail voting in Iowa on vote.gov. See all Iowa races.
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