Jack Reed vs. Raymond McKay polls: Rhode Island senate race 2026
Jack Reed vs. Raymond McKay · Jack Reed (D)
Election Day: · Rhode Island state guide
John Reed won by 37.5 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 8:00 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: D +33.2 (52% counted) → now D +37.5
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
Rhode Island Senate result
John Reed (Democrat) won the Rhode Island Senate race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 8:00 PM ET. With 99% of the expected vote counted, John Reed had 66.8% to Raymond McKay's 29.3%, a margin of 37.5 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
No verified poll ended in the final two weeks of the campaign, so there is no polling average to compare with the result.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET, 52% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 33.2 points; the lead widened to 37.5 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island
Certified results come from the Rhode Island election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
No verified poll in the last 14 days
The most recent verified poll in our dataset is Emerson, field dates ending : Jack Reed 59%, Raymond McKay 25%. It is listed below as history and is not used in a current average.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe D · Polls and sources · Rhode Island voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Senate races with recent verified polls: Nebraska (Tied in the 14-day average), South Carolina (Tied in the 14-day average), Alaska (Peltola +2.0 in the 14-day average).
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Jack Reed
U.S. Senator since 1997
Raymond McKay
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
No recent public polls
No average is available in the 14-day window through November 3, 2026. Older polls are listed as historical data below.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Jack Reed % | Raymond McKay % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EmersonOctober 8, 2026 – October 11, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 800LV | 59 | 25 | Original source ↗Emerson release confirms field dates Oct 8-11, 800 likely voters, Reed 59, McKay 25, Bahry (I) 7.Sponsor: WPRI 12 NewsMethod: Mixed mode |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 1 logged poll listed in the table above.
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Rhode Island in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D.
- Rhode Island Governor race · Solid D
- Nebraska Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- South Carolina Senate · Tied · one of the closest races
- Texas Governor · Abbott +1.0 · one of the closest races
- Kansas Governor · Masterson +1.5 · one of the closest races
- When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island · Analysis
- Divided Government in 2027: What Congress and the President Can Each Do · Analysis
Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: Rhode Island Senate election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the Rhode Island election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race?
No recent public polling is logged for the U.S. Senate race in Rhode Island in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Historical polls remain listed below. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the Rhode Island Senate election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check Rhode Island's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in Rhode Island?
On November 3, polls in Rhode Island close at 8 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live Rhode Island results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the Rhode Island election office.
Voting in Rhode Island
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · Official source ↗
- Regular mail ballot application deadline: · application · must be received by this date · Official source ↗
- Early in-person voting: · in person through November 2, 2026 · Official source ↗Ends 4 p.m. Nov 2.
- Mail ballot must arrive: · mail or drop box · must be received by this date · Official source ↗By 8 p.m.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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