Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman polls: New York governor race 2026
Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman · Kathy Hochul (D)
Election Day: · New York state guide
Kathy Hochul won by 19.7 points · called by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:00 PM ET
Lead at Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET: D +47.6 (19% counted) → now D +19.7
Unofficial results. Vote shares and calls from the Fox News Decision Desk results page ↗; this site does not project winners. Certified results come from the state election office.
New York Governor result
Kathy Hochul (Democrat) won the New York governor's race, according to a race call by Fox News at Nov 3, 9:00 PM ET. With 95% of the expected vote counted, Kathy Hochul had 59.7% to Bruce Blakeman's 40.0%, a margin of 19.7 points.
The seat was held by a Democrat before the election.
The final 14-day polling average, based on 1 verified poll, was D +14.0; the result so far is D +19.7, 5.7 points more Democratic than the polls.
On election night, the first snapshot this site saved (Nov 3, 9:19 PM ET, 19% counted) showed the Democrat ahead by 47.6 points; the lead narrowed to 19.7 points in the latest count. Early returns often contain a different mix of ballots than later ones, so movement during the count is normal.
Analysis: When a Race Has One Recent Poll: Connecticut, New York, Maine and Rhode Island
Certified results come from the New York election office. See also polls vs results and closest races.
Recent verified polling is available
1 verified poll ended in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. Their simple average: Kathy Hochul 54.0%, Bruce Blakeman 40.0% (not a forecast).
Most recent: Siena Research Institute, field dates ending : Kathy Hochul 54%, Bruce Blakeman 40%.
Candidates · Ratings: Cook Solid D, Sabato Safe D · Polls and sources · New York voting guide · Latest polls in all races
Ratings are forecasters' judgments, not polls. About these ratings
Candidates
Kathy Hochul
Governor since 2021
Bruce Blakeman
Nassau County Executive
Candidates recorded in this dataset; confirm the complete ballot with the election authority. Poll matchups may omit other candidates.
Current 14-day average
Equal-weight arithmetic mean of 1 logged poll ending in the 14 days through November 3, 2026. No sample-size or pollster weighting.
Logged polls and sources
| Pollster / field dates | Sample / population | Kathy Hochul % | Bruce Blakeman % | Source / notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Research InstituteOctober 19, 2026 – October 22, 2026Included in current average | 807LV | 54 | 40 | Original source ↗Siena release: Oct 19-22, 807 LV; Hochul 54, Blakeman 40.Method: Phone (dual-frame) and text-to-web |
| Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 15, 2026 – October 19, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1167LV | 55 | 41 | Original source ↗Quinnipiac release PDF: Oct 15-19, 1,167 LV; Hochul 55, Blakeman 41.Method: Live interviewer phone (RDD landline and cell) |
| Emerson College PollingOctober 3, 2026 – October 5, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 900LV | 52 | 40 | Original source ↗Emerson release confirms field dates, LV sample size and toplines.Sponsor: PIX11Method: Mixed-mode survey of likely voters |
| Marist PollOctober 1, 2026 – October 4, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1361RV | 53 | 42 | Original source ↗Marist release confirms field dates, RV sample size and governor toplines.Method: Multi-mode survey |
| Siena Research InstituteSeptember 11, 2026 – September 17, 2026Outside the selected averaging window | 1144LV | 50 | 41 | Original source ↗Siena 50/41 is verified as a single poll. Remove the unsupported mixed Siena/Quinnipiac range note; stored September 23 was publication date.Method: Live telephone and text-to-web |
Unverified and incomplete records stay visible and are explicitly excluded from the calculated average. We have not calculated an uncertainty interval for these averages. Source limitations.
Poll history
Trend of the 5 logged polls listed in the table above.
Kathy Hochul (D) leads Bruce Blakeman (R) by 14.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D.
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Full candidate biographies, primary results and campaign history: New York Governor election on Wikipedia ↗. Official candidate lists and certified results come from the New York election office via vote.gov.
What do verified polls show in the 2026 New York governor race?
Kathy Hochul (D) leads Bruce Blakeman (R) by 14.0 points in the average of 1 public poll from the 14 days ending November 3, 2026. The average has no calculated margin of error and is not a forecast. The Cook Political Report rates it Solid D; Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe D. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
When is the New York governor election?
The general election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Early and mail voting rules vary; check New York's rules on vote.gov.
What time do polls close in New York?
On November 3, polls in New York close at 9 p.m. ET. Anyone in line at closing time can still vote. See all states on our poll closing times page.
Where can I check the poll sources?
The logged poll table below links to original releases where a source is recorded. Only verified, complete polls are included in the calculated average.
Where can I follow live New York results?
Unofficial live results for this race will appear on this page and on our live results page on election night. Official results are certified by the New York election office.
Voting in New York
Election Day: . Confirm your registration, deadlines, voting options, polling location and sample ballot with official sources.
Verified deadlines
- Voter registration deadline: · online, mail or in person · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Must be received by the county board of elections.
- Early in-person voting: · in person through November 1, 2026 · Official source ↗
- Early mail/absentee ballot request deadline (online or mail): · online or mail · must be received by this date · Official source ↗Online portal and mailed applications must be received by this date.
- Early mail/absentee ballot request deadline (in person): · in person · must be received by this date · Official source ↗
- Mail ballot return deadline: · mail or in person · postmark by this date · Official source ↗Postmark or return in person by Election Day; mailed ballots must arrive by Nov 10.
Sources checked 2026-10-07. Election rules and deadlines can change; confirm details with the authority.
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